No, The Biden Administration has not Removed a Record Number of Illegal Aliens
AFPI.com
Robert Law, JUNE 27, 2024
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Recently, the Biden Administration made the dubious claim that it has “removed or returned” a record number of illegal aliens.
This deceptive claim involves conflating interior enforcement (removals) with border turn-backs (returns) and provides an incomplete snapshot of the overall outcome for the illegal aliens recorded in this dataset.
DHS data show that the Biden Administration has executed record-low ICE removals. In fact, every year under the current administration (Fiscal Years 2021–2023), there have been fewer removals than the Trump Administration executed in Fiscal Year 2020, despite all of the restrictions and challenges associated with COVID-19.
The Biden Administration’s open border policies and nationwide catch-and-release practice have caused a historic humanitarian and security crisis at the southern border. Over the last three and a half years, a record 12 million illegal aliens, including 1.8 million known “gotaways,” have crossed our borders unlawfully. Because the unsecure southern border has received a lot of attention and scrutiny, President Joe Biden issued an executive order in early June 2024 that he claimed would solve the border crisis. In reality, the policies in the executive order would further fuel the border crisis and allow an estimated 2.5 million illegal aliens into the country every year.
In a statement accompanying the executive order, Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, who was impeached by the House of Representatives, made a bold claim about the administration’s immigration enforcement record. Specifically, he said, “Throughout the last three fiscal years, a majority of all southwest border encounters resulted in a removal, return, or expulsion. Over the past year alone, we have removed or returned more than 750,000 people, more than in any fiscal year since 2010.”
Mayorkas’s choice to lump “removal,” “return,” and “expulsion” together as if they carry the same meaning was an attempt at a clever sleight of hand. When it comes to immigration, terminology matters in understanding the proper context for or implications of a policy. The term “expulsion” applies to an alien turned away at the border under the Title 42 public health authority that President Trump activated in March 2020 to stop the further introduction of COVID-19 by migrants. President Biden terminated the Title 42 authority in May 2023. By contrast, a removal, as explained in the annual U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Enforcement and Removal Operations Report, is “the compulsory and confirmed movement of an inadmissible or deportable alien out of the United States.” The report says that “ICE removals include both aliens arrested by [ICE Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO)] in the interior of the country and aliens who were apprehended by [U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP)] and turned over to ERO for removal efforts.” Finally, a “return” is an unofficial term that covers denying illegal aliens entry to the country without imposing further immigration consequences for their attempted unlawful entry.
REMOVALS REPRESENT INTERIOR ENFORCEMENT
The most accurate data set to review when assessing the immigration enforcement record of an administration is removals because that data accounts for the removal of an illegal alien who is physically in the United States. In the chart below, green indicates that the ICE removal originated with a CBP apprehension, and blue indicates an ICE apprehension. As shown in the chart, DHS data reveal that a record low number of illegal aliens are being removed from the United States under the Biden Administration despite the highest levels of encounters.
A quick review of the Fiscal Year 2023 report, the most recently available, reveals that ICE has removed fewer illegal aliens each year under the Biden Administration than occurred even in the lowest year for removals under the Trump Administration—Fiscal Year 2020 when COVID-19 restrictions disrupted the globe.
As demonstrated in the chart, during the Trump Administration, ICE removed nearly 1 million illegal aliens: 226,119 in Fiscal Year 2017, 256,085 in Fiscal Year 2018, 267,258 in Fiscal Year 2019, and 185,884 in Fiscal Year 2020. By comparison, over the first three years of the Biden Administration, ICE has removed fewer than 275,000 illegal aliens: 59,011 in Fiscal Year 2021, 72,177 in FY 2022, and 142,580 in Fiscal Year 2023. To put these numbers into context further, ICE removals in Fiscal Year 2018 were nearly the same as the combined removals from Fiscal Years 2021–2023.
RETURNS ARE NOT INTERIOR ENFORCEMENT
Regarding Mayorkas’s enforcement claim, it is clear he is deceiving the American people by lumping in very few ICE removals with allegedly very high border returns. Mayorkas said that between June 2023 and May 2024, more than 750,000 illegal aliens were “removed or returned.” He did not provide any data to support his claim, and the FY 2023 ICE removals only cover through September 2023. While one can only speculate whether ICE removals have increased to some degree in FY 2024, it is implausible that they have increased by more than half a million—or more than four-fold—from the FY 2023 total of 142,580. Thus, Mayorkas’s claim is only remotely feasible if one is to believe that “returns” make up an enormous share of his statistics.
Returns are an inferior enforcement statistic for several reasons. First, return statistics likely include multiple returns associated with a single illegal alien who made attempts to cross unlawfully on different days. Second, the data fail to account for the high probability under Biden Administration policies that an alien returned one day and subsequently made it into the country unlawfully, either through catch-and-release or as a ‘gotaway.’ Third, many of the illegal aliens returned across the border by Border Patrol agents were likely instructed to reappear at a port of entry and be allowed into the United States through the unlawful CBP One parole scheme. Accordingly, returns do not reflect an enforcement action from within the U.S., inherently overcount the total number of illegal aliens turned away, and do not indicate whether the alien subsequently made it into the country through another mechanism. As a result, returns provide an incomplete picture of enforcement outcomes and should not be viewed as a proper interior enforcement metric.
CONCLUSION… read the rest here.
GA Rep Jesse Petrea: President Biden, Sen. Ossoff aren’t really serious about the immigration problem
“The weak approach offered by Ossoff would do nothing to deter illegal crossings.”
This commentary is from Georgia Rep. Jesse Petrea (R-Savannah)
President Joe Biden’s recent executive order on illegal immigration is a political stunt and an attempt to trick the American people before the November election. It’s too little, too late when a president claims to support border security only when he’s down in the polls in an election year. In his first hundred days, the president issued 94 Executive Orders dismantling border security and discarding immigration enforcement tools put in place by President Donald Trump.
President Biden was handed what was arguably the most secure border in history and then intentionally opened it. For more than three years, he claimed he needed new laws to control immigration and to provide homeland security after the world watched President Trump efficiently address the issue with the laws already in place.
More: Georgia lawmakers tackle immigration, religious freedom protections, more
The president’s plan fails to do anything to slow the current migrant wave. First, it continues catch and release, which allowed Laken Riley’s accused murderer to enter the country. Second, it allows 900,000 more migrants to cross the border illegally. It fails to deport any of the close to 8-10 million illegal aliens that Biden has welcomed into the United States in the past three years.
While it is progress to see President Biden admit that he has the Executive Order power to halt border crossings (which he always knew as it has been used by previous presidents), he refuses to stop the flow in a meaningful way.
It is obvious that this administration supports open borders and ignores real homeland security. Under 8 U.S. C1182 (f), the president has the authority “to suspend the entry of all aliens or any class of aliens whenever the President finds that the entry of any aliens or any class of aliens into the United States would be detrimental to the interest of the United States.”
U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff recently visited the border to try to fool Georgians into thinking that Democratic leaders support border security. They do not. They are simply changing their tune as the election approaches because they’ve finally figured out that voters are angry about the loss of control of our border. The Biden administration has failed miserably to protect the U.S. border by systematically dismantling the policies and laws put in place which provided record low illegal immigration. The weak approach offered by Ossoff would do nothing to deter illegal crossings.
If Ossoff wants to support true homeland security, he should press the president to use the inherent authority of the White House to halt the tidal wave of illegal entries with these reforms: End the catch and release scheme, reinstate the remain in Mexico policy and begin deporting criminal aliens at previous levels. Only then would we give credibility to claims that Democrats want border security. Full text here.
This article originally appeared on Savannah Morning News: Petrea: Biden, Ossoff aren’t serious about the immigration problem
8USC1182: “…the President…may by proclamation, and for such period as he shall deem necessary, suspend the entry of all aliens or any class of aliens…”
8 USC 1182 (f)
(14( (f) Suspension of entry or imposition of restrictions by President
“Whenever the President finds that the entry of any aliens or of any class of aliens into the United States would be detrimental to the interests of the United States, he may by proclamation, and for such period as he shall deem necessary, suspend the entry of all aliens or any class of aliens as immigrants or nonimmigrants, or impose on the entry of aliens any restrictions he may deem to be appropriate. Whenever the Attorney General finds that a commercial airline has failed to comply with regulations of the Attorney General relating to requirements of airlines for the detection of fraudulent documents used by passengers traveling to the United States (including the training of personnel in such detection), the Attorney General may suspend the entry of some or all aliens transported to the United States by such airline….”
A deep dive into the (financial) cost of illegal immigration
The Cost of Illegal Immigration
National Affairs
Summer, 2024
The chaos at the border in recent years, along with even Democrat-run cities complaining about its impact, have cast into stark relief one of the central issues surrounding illegal immigration: its fiscal costs. Unfortunately, most discussions on the subject tend to be filled with misconceptions, half-truths, and at times even outright falsehoods. A fair read of the evidence indicates that illegal immigrants are almost certainly a net fiscal drain, but not because they are illegal per se. Nor is it because they are freeloaders or welfare cheats, or because they don’t pay any taxes.
The reason is that a very large share of illegal immigrants have modest levels of education, which results in modest incomes and tax payments, even when they are paid on the books. Their generally low incomes also allow many of them to qualify for means-tested welfare programs, which they often receive on behalf of native-born children. In other words, illegal immigrants are a net fiscal drain on public budgets for the same reasons that legal immigrants and native-born Americans with low levels of education are: They receive more in benefits from the system than they pay into it.
These realities do not neatly satisfy either side of the contemporary immigration divide, so they are routinely ignored or even denied. Any serious and informed immigration-policy debate will have to confront them.
THE ILLEGAL-IMMIGRANT POPULATION
Whatever the fiscal impact of the average illegal immigrant, it would not matter much if there were relatively few in the country. But the illegal-immigrant population has been large for decades. We can arrive at reasonable estimates of that population primarily because, contrary to what is sometimes asserted, illegal immigrants do not live in the shadows.
It’s not just that illegal immigrants have appeared at press conferences with sympathetic politicians or prominent activists: The Census Bureau makes it clear that illegal immigrants respond to the decennial census and its various surveys. The Bureau of Labor Statistics, which uses census surveys, is also clear on this point. Numerous researchers over the last four decades have used data from these two agencies to study illegal immigrants living in the United States.
Much of the pioneering work in this area was performed by Robert Warren — formerly at the Immigration and Naturalization Service and now at the Center for Migration Studies — and Jeffrey Passel at the Pew Research Center. In the 1980s, both Warren and Passel realized that they could estimate the number of illegal immigrants residing in the country through census data. Since researchers can discern the characteristics of immigrants in the country legally based on administrative data, by comparing their survey profile to the characteristics of the entire foreign-born population, they can figure out who the likely illegal immigrants are. This basic insight allows us to study illegal immigrants in a systematic way.
Prior to the border-crossing surge during the Biden administration, analysis of Census Bureau data showed roughly 10 or 11 million illegal immigrants in the United States. When adjusted for undercount, it produced estimates of 10 to 12 million. This does not include the roughly 5 million native-born minor children of illegal immigrants who were all awarded American citizenship at birth.
Many Americans doubt the number was this “low,” or that it remained relatively constant before the Covid-19 pandemic. It’s certainly true that hundreds of thousands of new illegal immigrants crossed the border surreptitiously or overstayed a temporary visa every year before the pandemic, even during the Trump administration. But their numbers were offset by all those who left on their own, were deported, died, or gained legal status (e.g., by being granted asylum or marrying an American citizen) every year. Warren estimates that between 2010 and 2019, 5.9 million illegal immigrants left the illegal population in various ways.
Another likely reason that Americans believe the illegal-immigrant population is larger than those estimates suggest is that they underestimate the number of legal immigrants allowed into the country. Despite out-migration and natural mortality, the legal-immigrant population has roughly tripled in size since 1980. To the extent that the media report on legal immigration, they often leave the public with the impression that it is highly restrictive. This leads many Americans to assume that the huge increase in the foreign-born population they see around them must be due to illegal immigration.
While we can be reasonably certain that the pre-pandemic estimates of illegal immigration were accurate, there is not an absolute consensus. In 2018, several researchers at Yale University published an article purporting to show that the illegal-immigrant population was closer to… HERE
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